Edwyn

Edwyn Search companies, tickers, CIKs…⌘K

XPO, Inc.

XPOCIK 0001166003

Compare:CHRW HUBG SAIA ODFL FDX UPS

Compare XPO

Intrinsic Value

XPO Intrinsic Valuation

Review the filing-backed discounted cash flow baseline, scenario range, and capital structure context for a fundamentals-first fair value read.

Intrinsic Value

XPO Intrinsic Valuation

Review the filing-backed discounted cash flow baseline, scenario range, and capital structure context for a fundamentals-first fair value read.

Intrinsic value

Filing-backed DCF baseline

Automated free-cash-flow DCF baseline for XPO, Inc., derived from annual filing data.

Read the DCF guide

DCF fair value

-$16.95

Implied equity value -$2B

Current price

—

Latest available quote for the primary listing.

Margin of safety

N/A

Live market price unavailable. Refreshing the route will retry the quote.

Fair value range

-$18.32 – -$15.18

Bear

-$18.32

Base

-$16.95

Bull

-$15.18

Model assumptions

Cash flow base

$78M

Basis

Operating cash flow less capex (firm-value proxy)

Growth

5.7%

Discount

10.5%

Terminal

2.5%

Horizon

Assumption sensitivity

vs base per share

Base case-$16.95Baseline

Growth +1 pt-$15.96+$1.00

Intrinsic value

Filing-backed DCF baseline

Automated free-cash-flow DCF baseline for XPO, Inc., derived from annual filing data.

Read the DCF guide

DCF fair value

-$16.95

Implied equity value -$2B

Current price

—

Latest available quote for the primary listing.

Margin of safety

N/A

Live market price unavailable. Refreshing the route will retry the quote.

Fair value range

-$18.32 – -$15.18

Bear

-$18.32

Base

-$16.95

Bull

-$15.18

Model assumptions

Cash flow base

$78M

Basis

Operating cash flow less capex (firm-value proxy)

Growth

5.7%

Discount

10.5%

Terminal

2.5%

Horizon

Assumption sensitivity

vs base per share

Base case-$16.95Baseline

Growth +1 pt-$15.96+$1.00

What the market is pricing in

Market expectations cannot be backed out until price, share count, cash-flow base, discount rate, terminal growth, and the EV-to-equity bridge are all available.
Growth anchor: Median of 3Y revenue CAGR, 5Y revenue CAGR, and 5Y free cash flow CAGR. Scenario-derived from +/-2 pts growth and +/-1 pt discount.
Net debt reduces equity value relative to firm value before the per-share target is calculated.

Intrinsic EV-to-equity bridge

Enterprise value

Discounted free cash flows

$1B

Less total debt

− $3B

Plus cash and equivalents

+ $310M

Equity value

After the bridge

-$2B

Diluted shares

119,000,000

Fair value / share

-$16.95