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AMETEK INC/

AMECIK 0001037868Manufacturing

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Intrinsic Value

AME Intrinsic Valuation

Review the filing-backed discounted cash flow baseline, scenario range, and capital structure context for a fundamentals-first fair value read.

Intrinsic Value

AME Intrinsic Valuation

Review the filing-backed discounted cash flow baseline, scenario range, and capital structure context for a fundamentals-first fair value read.

Intrinsic value

Filing-backed DCF baseline

Automated free-cash-flow DCF baseline for AMETEK INC/, derived from annual filing data.

Read the DCF guide

DCF fair value

$117.55

Implied equity value $27B

Current price

$232.19

Latest available quote for the primary listing.

Margin of safety

-49.4%

Base case against the live quote.

Fair value range

$96.00 – $147.28

Bear

$96.00

Base

$117.55

Bull

$147.28

Current

$232.19

Model assumptions

Cash flow base

$2B

Basis

Operating cash flow less capex (firm-value proxy)

Growth

6.7%

Discount

9.0%

Terminal

2.5%

Horizon

Assumption sensitivity

vs base per share

Base case$117.55Baseline

Growth +1 pt$134.51+$16.95

Intrinsic value

Filing-backed DCF baseline

Automated free-cash-flow DCF baseline for AMETEK INC/, derived from annual filing data.

Read the DCF guide

DCF fair value

$117.55

Implied equity value $27B

Current price

$232.19

Latest available quote for the primary listing.

Margin of safety

-49.4%

Base case against the live quote.

Fair value range

$96.00 – $147.28

Bear

$96.00

Base

$117.55

Bull

$147.28

Current

$232.19

Model assumptions

Cash flow base

$2B

Basis

Operating cash flow less capex (firm-value proxy)

Growth

6.7%

Discount

9.0%

Terminal

2.5%

Horizon

Assumption sensitivity

vs base per share

Base case$117.55Baseline

Growth +1 pt$134.51+$16.95

What the market is pricing in

At $232.19 the market is pricing in roughly 20.8% annual growth under this model.
Growth anchor: Median of 3Y revenue CAGR, 5Y revenue CAGR, and 5Y free cash flow CAGR. Scenario-derived from +/-2 pts growth and +/-1 pt discount.
Net debt reduces equity value relative to firm value before the per-share target is calculated.

Intrinsic EV-to-equity bridge

Enterprise value

Discounted free cash flows

$29B

Less total debt

− $2B

Plus cash and equivalents

+ $458M

Equity value

After the bridge

$27B

Diluted shares

231,259,000

Fair value / share

$117.55