Quick read
Fair Value Engine
Decision-focused synthesis of expected stock prices combining relative peer multiples and intrinsic models.
Compare price, profitability, solvency, and SEC-reported financials side by side—before deciding which assumptions deserve a closer look.
Decision snapshot
K stock price vs HSY: inconclusive
Relative valuation is incomplete for this pair. Review the available filing metrics before drawing a conclusion.
Price gap
N/A
Coverage
Medium · 60%
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Quick read
Decision-focused synthesis of expected stock prices combining relative peer multiples and intrinsic models.
Metric-by-metric
Filter, sort, and scan where each company leads, where gaps are small, and where comparisons are not meaningful.
| Metric | K | HSY | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
Revenue growth (YoY) K: FY 2023 -> FY 2024 | HSY: FY 2024 -> FY 2025 | -2.8% | 4.4% | HSY leads by 164.9% Higher Revenue growth |
Gross margin | 33.6% | 33.5% | K leads by 0.1% Higher Gross margin |
EBITDA margin | 15.5% | 17.5% | HSY leads by 11.5% Higher EBITDA margin |
EV/Revenue | N/M | N/M | Insufficient data No additional context |
P/E | N/M | N/M | Not comparable Not comparable |
Net debt / EBITDA | 2.6 | 2.2 | HSY leads by 19.0% Lower Net debt / EBITDA |
Statements
Core income statement and balance sheet metrics aligned to the reporting windows.
| Metric | K | Delta vs HSY | HSY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $12.75B | 9.0% higher | $11.69B |
| Gross profit | $4.28B | 9.2% higher | $3.92B |
| Operating income | $1.87B | 29.9% higher | $1.44B |
| EBITDA | $1.98B | 3.5% lower | $2.05B |
| Net income | $1.34B | 52.1% higher | $883.26M |
| EPS | 3.9 | 10.9% lower | 4.4 |
| Revenue growth | -2.8% | 164.9% lower | 4.4% |
| Gross margin | 33.6% | 0.1% higher | 33.5% |
| Operating margin | 14.7% | 19.2% higher | 12.3% |
| EBITDA margin | 15.5% | 11.5% lower | 17.5% |
| Net margin | 10.5% | 39.5% higher | 7.6% |
Trendline
Track multi-year revenue, earnings, and margin direction before underwriting a rerating.
Price framework
Market cap + debt - cash, shown for the current pair and benchmark median context.
Price framework
Baseline discounted cash flow model estimating total intrinsic firm value first, then bridging to an implied stock price per share.
Risk control
Financial health checks to separate durable balance sheets from potential value traps.
Comparable set
Place both companies in context relative to a wider comparable universe.
LLM-powered Synthesis
Based on an earlier data snapshot. Review the filing dates below or refresh after signing in.
K looks operationally stronger than HSY on profitability and ROIC, but the valuation setup is mixed because the provided implied prices and HSY range are not clearly anchored to a current market price.
If you believe K can re-accelerate revenue growth while preserving its stronger margin and ROIC profile, then K looks attractive relative to HSY because K already converts revenue into better operating and net profitability; if not, the DCF range and higher leverage argue for caution.
The comparison suggests K deserves some premium support on fundamentals, but the valuation picture is incomplete because K has no current price or direct trading multiples provided. On the supplied HSY-implied basis, K's implied price of $163.08 sits well above HSY implied range of $100.68 to $116.32, while the DCF range of $31.72 to $42.91 is far below that level, indicating a wide valuation dispersion.
Supporting Metrics