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Walmart Inc.

WMTCIK 0000104169Retail

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Intrinsic Value

WMT Intrinsic Valuation

Review the filing-backed discounted cash flow baseline, scenario range, and capital structure context for a fundamentals-first fair value read.

Intrinsic Value

WMT Intrinsic Valuation

Review the filing-backed discounted cash flow baseline, scenario range, and capital structure context for a fundamentals-first fair value read.

Intrinsic value

Filing-backed DCF baseline

Automated free-cash-flow DCF baseline for Walmart Inc., derived from annual filing data.

Read the DCF guide

DCF fair value

$20.96

Implied equity value $168B

Current price

$129.17

Latest available quote for the primary listing.

Margin of safety

-83.8%

Base case against the live quote.

Fair value range

$17.18 – $25.90

Bear

$17.18

Base

$20.96

Bull

$25.90

Current

$129.17

Model assumptions

Cash flow base

$15B

Basis

Operating cash flow less capex (firm-value proxy)

Growth

5.0%

Discount

10.5%

Terminal

2.5%

Horizon

Assumption sensitivity

vs base per share

Base case$20.96Baseline

Growth +1 pt$23.33+$2.36

Intrinsic value

Filing-backed DCF baseline

Automated free-cash-flow DCF baseline for Walmart Inc., derived from annual filing data.

Read the DCF guide

DCF fair value

$20.96

Implied equity value $168B

Current price

$129.17

Latest available quote for the primary listing.

Margin of safety

-83.8%

Base case against the live quote.

Fair value range

$17.18 – $25.90

Bear

$17.18

Base

$20.96

Bull

$25.90

Current

$129.17

Model assumptions

Cash flow base

$15B

Basis

Operating cash flow less capex (firm-value proxy)

Growth

5.0%

Discount

10.5%

Terminal

2.5%

Horizon

Assumption sensitivity

vs base per share

Base case$20.96Baseline

Growth +1 pt$23.33+$2.36

What the market is pricing in

At $129.17 the market implies growth above 40.0% under this DCF setup — an aggressive outcome.
Growth anchor: Median of 3Y revenue CAGR, 5Y revenue CAGR, and 5Y free cash flow CAGR. Scenario-derived from +/-2 pts growth and +/-1 pt discount.
Net debt reduces equity value relative to firm value before the per-share target is calculated.

Intrinsic EV-to-equity bridge

Enterprise value

Discounted free cash flows

$202B

Less total debt

− $45B

Plus cash and equivalents

+ $11B

Equity value

After the bridge

$168B

Diluted shares

8,022,000,000

Fair value / share

$20.96